Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.000126 0.000138 0.000151 0.000167 0.000184 0.000202 0.000223
2025-11-09 0.000101 0.000119 0.000140 0.000166 0.000197 0.000234 0.000282
2025-11-16 0.000085 0.000105 0.000130 0.000163 0.000206 0.000259 0.000333
2025-11-23 0.000073 0.000094 0.000121 0.000159 0.000210 0.000278 0.000377
2025-11-30 0.000067 0.000089 0.000119 0.000161 0.000222 0.000308 0.000438
2025-12-07 0.000062 0.000085 0.000117 0.000164 0.000235 0.000339 0.000505
2025-12-14 0.000056 0.000079 0.000111 0.000161 0.000238 0.000355 0.000551
2025-12-21 0.000050 0.000072 0.000104 0.000155 0.000236 0.000364 0.000585
2025-12-28 0.000047 0.000069 0.000102 0.000156 0.000245 0.000388 0.000648
2026-01-04 0.000044 0.000066 0.000100 0.000157 0.000253 0.000414 0.000717
2026-01-11 0.000041 0.000063 0.000097 0.000155 0.000256 0.000431 0.000771
2026-01-18 0.000039 0.000060 0.000095 0.000156 0.000263 0.000456 0.000843
2026-01-25 0.000036 0.000057 0.000092 0.000154 0.000267 0.000475 0.000909
2026-02-01 0.000034 0.000055 0.000089 0.000153 0.000273 0.000501 0.000994
2026-02-08 0.000032 0.000052 0.000086 0.000151 0.000276 0.000519 0.001066
2026-02-15 0.000029 0.000049 0.000082 0.000147 0.000275 0.000531 0.001125
2026-02-22 0.000028 0.000048 0.000082 0.000149 0.000286 0.000568 0.001247
2026-03-01 0.000027 0.000047 0.000082 0.000152 0.000299 0.000610 0.001389
2026-03-08 0.000025 0.000044 0.000079 0.000149 0.000299 0.000626 0.001468
2026-03-15 0.000024 0.000042 0.000075 0.000144 0.000293 0.000627 0.001511
2026-03-22 0.000023 0.000040 0.000074 0.000144 0.000301 0.000660 0.001643
2026-03-29 0.000022 0.000039 0.000073 0.000145 0.000310 0.000696 0.001789
2026-04-05 0.000021 0.000038 0.000071 0.000143 0.000311 0.000714 0.001891